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NBA Daily Research | SportsWZRD - SportsWZRD - Advanced Analytics & Projections
NBA Daily Research
Big lifts from weak season averages (customizable formula)
Surprise
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Formulas & controls
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PTS weight
REB weight
AST weight
STL weight
BLK weight
3PM weight
FG weight
FT weight
TO weight
Min mins
5+
▾
Lift weight
Magnitude weight
What’s being calculated
Z
= Σ (weight
cat
· z
cat
) using SportsWZRD’s z-score baselines (incl. FG/FT attempt weighting, TO inverted).
WZRD
= normalize(Z) to a 0–100 scale.
Surprise
= w₁·(gameZ − seasonAvgZ) + w₂·max(0, gameZ), with weights normalized to sum to 1.
Showing
2
of
2
rows (Min mins 5+)
Royce O'Neale
PHX 123
vs
DEN 125
DATE
2026-03-24
MIN
28
3PM
5
PTS
17
REB
5
AST
3
STL
1
BLK
3
TO
0
WZRD
51
Surprise
10
Paolo Banchero
ORL 131
vs
CLE 136
DATE
2026-03-24
MIN
39
3PM
3
PTS
36
REB
6
AST
5
STL
1
BLK
1
TO
5
WZRD
51
Surprise
10
Date
↓
Player
MIN
↓
FGM/A
↓
FTM/A
↓
3PM
↓
PTS
↓
REB
↓
AST
↓
STL
↓
BLK
↓
TO
↓
WZRD
↓
Surprise
↓
03/24
Royce O'Neale
PHX 123
vs
DEN 125
28
5/8
2/2
5
17
5
3
1
3
0
51
10
03/24
Paolo Banchero
ORL 131
vs
CLE 136
39
10/19
13/15
3
36
6
5
1
1
5
51
10