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NBA Daily Research | SportsWZRD - SportsWZRD - Advanced Analytics & Projections
NBA Daily Research
Big lifts from weak season averages (customizable formula)
Surprise
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Formulas & controls
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PTS weight
REB weight
AST weight
STL weight
BLK weight
3PM weight
FG weight
FT weight
TO weight
Min mins
5+
▾
Lift weight
Magnitude weight
What’s being calculated
Z
= Σ (weight
cat
· z
cat
) using SportsWZRD’s z-score baselines (incl. FG/FT attempt weighting, TO inverted).
WZRD
= normalize(Z) to a 0–100 scale.
Surprise
= w₁·(gameZ − seasonAvgZ) + w₂·max(0, gameZ), with weights normalized to sum to 1.
Showing
1
of
1
rows (Min mins 5+)
Alex Caruso
OKC 87
vs
DEN 98
DATE
2025-05-05
MIN
26
3PM
5
PTS
20
REB
1
AST
6
STL
5
BLK
2
TO
2
WZRD
58
Surprise
16
Date
↓
Player
MIN
↓
FGM/A
↓
FTM/A
↓
3PM
↓
PTS
↓
REB
↓
AST
↓
STL
↓
BLK
↓
TO
↓
WZRD
↓
Surprise
↓
05/05
Alex Caruso
OKC 87
vs
DEN 98
26
7/12
1/2
5
20
1
6
5
2
2
58
16