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NBA Daily Research | SportsWZRD - SportsWZRD - Advanced Analytics & Projections
NBA Daily Research
Big lifts from weak season averages (customizable formula)
Surprise
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Formulas & controls
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PTS weight
REB weight
AST weight
STL weight
BLK weight
3PM weight
FG weight
FT weight
TO weight
Min mins
5+
▾
Lift weight
Magnitude weight
What’s being calculated
Z
= Σ (weight
cat
· z
cat
) using SportsWZRD’s z-score baselines (incl. FG/FT attempt weighting, TO inverted).
WZRD
= normalize(Z) to a 0–100 scale.
Surprise
= w₁·(gameZ − seasonAvgZ) + w₂·max(0, gameZ), with weights normalized to sum to 1.
Showing
2
of
2
rows (Min mins 5+)
Bobby Portis
MIL 74
vs
IND 93
DATE
2025-04-22
MIN
31
3PM
6
PTS
28
REB
12
AST
1
STL
0
BLK
1
TO
0
WZRD
48
Surprise
9
Alex Caruso
OKC 85
vs
MEM 85
DATE
2025-04-22
MIN
22
3PM
3
PTS
13
REB
4
AST
3
STL
3
BLK
1
TO
0
WZRD
42
Surprise
7
Date
↓
Player
MIN
↓
FGM/A
↓
FTM/A
↓
3PM
↓
PTS
↓
REB
↓
AST
↓
STL
↓
BLK
↓
TO
↓
WZRD
↓
Surprise
↓
04/22
Bobby Portis
MIL 74
vs
IND 93
31
11/19
0/1
6
28
12
1
0
1
0
48
9
04/22
Alex Caruso
OKC 85
vs
MEM 85
22
5/10
0/0
3
13
4
3
3
1
0
42
7