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NBA Daily Research | SportsWZRD - SportsWZRD - Advanced Analytics & Projections
NBA Daily Research
Big lifts from weak season averages (customizable formula)
Surprise
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Formulas & controls
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PTS weight
REB weight
AST weight
STL weight
BLK weight
3PM weight
FG weight
FT weight
TO weight
Min mins
5+
▾
Lift weight
Magnitude weight
What’s being calculated
Z
= Σ (weight
cat
· z
cat
) using SportsWZRD’s z-score baselines (incl. FG/FT attempt weighting, TO inverted).
WZRD
= normalize(Z) to a 0–100 scale.
Surprise
= w₁·(gameZ − seasonAvgZ) + w₂·max(0, gameZ), with weights normalized to sum to 1.
Showing
2
of
2
rows (Min mins 5+)
Aaron Nesmith
IND 107
vs
NYK 118
DATE
2025-05-21
MIN
38
3PM
8
PTS
30
REB
2
AST
0
STL
1
BLK
2
TO
0
WZRD
59
Surprise
15
Tyrese Haliburton
IND 107
vs
NYK 118
DATE
2025-05-21
MIN
42
3PM
4
PTS
31
REB
4
AST
11
STL
1
BLK
0
TO
2
WZRD
49
Surprise
9
Date
↓
Player
MIN
↓
FGM/A
↓
FTM/A
↓
3PM
↓
PTS
↓
REB
↓
AST
↓
STL
↓
BLK
↓
TO
↓
WZRD
↓
Surprise
↓
05/21
Aaron Nesmith
IND 107
vs
NYK 118
38
9/13
4/4
8
30
2
0
1
2
0
59
15
05/21
Tyrese Haliburton
IND 107
vs
NYK 118
42
12/23
3/4
4
31
4
11
1
0
2
49
9