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NBA Daily Research | SportsWZRD - SportsWZRD - Advanced Analytics & Projections
NBA Daily Research
Big lifts from weak season averages (customizable formula)
Surprise
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Formulas & controls
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PTS weight
REB weight
AST weight
STL weight
BLK weight
3PM weight
FG weight
FT weight
TO weight
Min mins
5+
▾
Lift weight
Magnitude weight
What’s being calculated
Z
= Σ (weight
cat
· z
cat
) using SportsWZRD’s z-score baselines (incl. FG/FT attempt weighting, TO inverted).
WZRD
= normalize(Z) to a 0–100 scale.
Surprise
= w₁·(gameZ − seasonAvgZ) + w₂·max(0, gameZ), with weights normalized to sum to 1.
Showing
2
of
2
rows (Min mins 5+)
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL 90
vs
IND 72
DATE
2025-04-25
MIN
34
3PM
9
PTS
37
REB
3
AST
0
STL
4
BLK
0
TO
0
WZRD
68
Surprise
23
Aaron Nesmith
IND 72
vs
MIL 90
DATE
2025-04-25
MIN
26
3PM
4
PTS
18
REB
7
AST
3
STL
2
BLK
1
TO
2
WZRD
45
Surprise
8
Date
↓
Player
MIN
↓
FGM/A
↓
FTM/A
↓
3PM
↓
PTS
↓
REB
↓
AST
↓
STL
↓
BLK
↓
TO
↓
WZRD
↓
Surprise
↓
04/25
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL 90
vs
IND 72
34
11/16
6/7
9
37
3
0
4
0
0
68
23
04/25
Aaron Nesmith
IND 72
vs
MIL 90
26
7/13
0/0
4
18
7
3
2
1
2
45
8