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NBA Daily Research | SportsWZRD - SportsWZRD - Advanced Analytics & Projections
NBA Daily Research
Big lifts from weak season averages (customizable formula)
Surprise
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Formulas & controls
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PTS weight
REB weight
AST weight
STL weight
BLK weight
3PM weight
FG weight
FT weight
TO weight
Min mins
5+
▾
Lift weight
Magnitude weight
What’s being calculated
Z
= Σ (weight
cat
· z
cat
) using SportsWZRD’s z-score baselines (incl. FG/FT attempt weighting, TO inverted).
WZRD
= normalize(Z) to a 0–100 scale.
Surprise
= w₁·(gameZ − seasonAvgZ) + w₂·max(0, gameZ), with weights normalized to sum to 1.
Showing
2
of
2
rows (Min mins 5+)
Jimmy Butler III
MIA 91
vs
BKN 76
DATE
2023-11-16
MIN
34
3PM
2
PTS
36
REB
5
AST
3
STL
1
BLK
3
TO
4
WZRD
58
Surprise
13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC 77
vs
GSW 65
DATE
2023-11-16
MIN
29
3PM
3
PTS
24
REB
2
AST
7
STL
3
BLK
1
TO
2
WZRD
46
Surprise
7
Date
↓
Player
MIN
↓
FGM/A
↓
FTM/A
↓
3PM
↓
PTS
↓
REB
↓
AST
↓
STL
↓
BLK
↓
TO
↓
WZRD
↓
Surprise
↓
11/16
Jimmy Butler III
MIA 91
vs
BKN 76
34
12/19
10/11
2
36
5
3
1
3
4
58
13
11/16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC 77
vs
GSW 65
29
6/21
9/9
3
24
2
7
3
1
2
46
7